Innovation brief
IllustrativeInnovation brief: Showing uncertainty in flood alerts
2026 · Updated 30 Jun 2026
A practitioner note on replacing binary flood alerts with commune-level uncertainty bands.
This innovation brief is a companion to the Mekong nowcast profile. It explains why a single red/green tile can be less safe than a wide uncertainty band when satellite layers fail.
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Use case
Commune-level flood nowcasts with uncertainty bandsA Mekong collective publishes flood nowcasts that show uncertainty so village monitors can decide when to evacuate.
Dataset
Mekong commune nowcast uncertainty sampleSynthetic commune-day nowcasts with uncertainty bands and a cloud-cover flag.